Monday, January 15, 2024

2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, POLLS SAY, WILL BE DETERMINED BY Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona and Georgia.

 

Biden re-elected if he gets 35 of 79 tossup electoral college votes?

 

For the 2024 Presidential election, by applying the Electoral College votes to each state that has either President Biden or ex-President Trump in the lead, Trump would have 235 electoral votes to 226 for President Biden.

It takes 270 to become President.

So President Biden needs 35 of the remaining 79 votes, less than half of those still on the fence.

The tossup states are Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona and Georgia.

 

Wisconsin, Arizona and Georgia went for President Trump in 2020, BUT a switch of 77,000 combined votes in those 3 states would have meant a tie in the Electoral College which would have had the House of Representatives decide who become President.

154.6 million Americans voted but 77,000 people decided who would be President.

In the 2020 Presidential election, Biden got 51.31% of popular vote, Trump 46.85%, which does not determine who becomes President. Electoral votes do. Biden got 56.88% of the electoral votes, Trump 43.12% and was a bigger winner in electoral votes than in the popular vote.

Trump lost popular vote in 2016 AND 2020 but in 2016 became the 5th President to sit in the Oval Office despite losing the popular vote because, under our Constitution, the Electoral College vote determines our Presidents.

Biden got 232 electoral votes, winning 25 states, D.C. & 1 Nebraska congressional district. Biden won 26 states (but didn’t need 9 with smaller votes he won), Trump 24.

Biden won 5 states that Trump won in 2016: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, the main reason Biden is President today.

If Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, Biden’s narrowest victories, had gone to Trump instead there would have been a 269-269 tie and would have sent the decision to the House of Representatives, where each state got 1 vote (Rhode Island would have as much power as California, unlike the general election itself) and there were enough Republican states that could have made Trump re-elected.

A switch of 77,000 votes in Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona would have given their delegates to Trump instead of Biden.

2020 ELECTORAL VOTES

For Biden

56 California

29 New York

20 Illinois

20 Pennsylvania

16 Georgia

16 Michigan

14 New Jersey

13 Virginia

12 Washington

11 Arizona

11 Massachusetts

10 Wisconsin

10 Maryland

10 Minnesota

9 Colorado

7 Connecticut

7 Oregon

(271 total, enough to win election)

6 Nevada

5 New Mexico

4 Rhode Island

4 Hawaii

4 New Hampshire

3 Vermont

3 Delaware

3 D.C.

3 Maine

1 Nebraska

 

For Trump

38 Texas

29 Florida

18 Ohio

15 North Carolina

11 Indiana

11 Tennessee

10 Missouri

9 South Dakota

9 Alabama

8 Kentucky

8 Louisiana

7 Oklahoma

6 Utah

6 Mississippi

6 Arkansas

6 Iowa

6 Kansas

5 West Virginia

4 Idaho

4 Nebraska

3 North Dakota

3 Alaska

3 Montana

3 Wyoming

1 Maine

2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Trump got 306 electoral votes even though he had fewer people voting for him than Hillary Clinton, who got only 232 electoral votes despite getting her name on more ballots.

 

That’s the way our Constitution works and has elected FIVE Presidents who lost the popular vote: John Quincy Adams, Rutherford B. Hayes, Benjamin Harrison, George W. Bush and Donald Trump.

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